The math doesn't work
Wages haven't caught up to housing. Affording the median single-family home now requires a household earning more than 180% of the state's median income, a bar only about one in five households on Maui can clear.
UHERO Hawaiʻi Housing Factbook 2026 → Bill 9 and short-term rentals
The December 2025 law phasing out roughly 7,000 vacation rentals in apartment-zoned buildings, with the West Maui phase-out beginning in 2029 and the rest of the county by 2031.
KITV: Bill 9 signed into law → Why families are leaving
More than 20,000 people have left Hawaiʻi since 2020. Most of them locals. Most of them for the mainland. UHERO's migration analysis follows where they're going and why.
UHERO: Hawaiʻi migration trends → Lahaina's housing problem
5,500+ housing units were destroyed by the 2023 wildfires. Two and a half years later, 192 rebuilt homes are habitable and 57% of damaged lots have no permit activity at all.
See The Response → The waitlist no one talks about
The Department of Hawaiian Home Lands holds a multi-decade waitlist of Native Hawaiians waiting for land promised under the 1921 Hawaiian Homes Commission Act. This is the constitutional ground every housing conversation stands on.
DHHL: applicant waiting list → The rental ceiling keeps rising
Maui's median asking rent now leads the state. The post-fire scramble pulled long-term rentals off the market and into short-term listings, concentrating families into a smaller, pricier pool. More than half of Maui renters spend over 30% of their income just on rent.
UHERO Factbook 2026: rent & rent burden → Continues in Our Costs
Housing is the biggest line in the cost-of-living story, but it isn't the whole story. Hawaiʻi imports most of its food. Power, gas, and groceries all run well above the mainland, and the paychecks have not kept up.
Read Our Costs →